Edgewise On The Markets

Entries tagged as ‘fed day’

A Sweet Triangle

April 30, 2008 · Leave a Comment

Looking at this 3 minute chart of the YM contract right around fed time today. What I want to point out is actually the setup that occurred about 30 minutes after the 2:15 info. I like to watch  how the market goes into and acts around the 3:00 EST time after the fed.  During the announcement I was looking at the bonds and noticing how they showed strength around the number. Yes they pulled down but the follow through was to the long side. SO this was the first signal of overall market sentiment. Then we saw the bulls try to push forward again around 2:45. You can see this on the chart by those green candles, but notice the long wicks showing us rejection. Thats another bearish sign. Then the market consolidates into a perfect triangle pattern. When it breaks with good volume to the downside of the triangle thats a clear signal to look at a smaller time frame and get on a pullback. So basically you get three signs confirming the move. At that point you go with it.

Notice also that the lines drawn on the chart had been drawn before the open. They are key levels from the overnight session. See how well they where respected on the move down. These would be great targets to take some profits on the move as it progressed down.

Categories: learning to trade · stock market ideas · tradethemarkets · trading the dow · ym
Tagged: , , , ,

Waiting On Ben

April 30, 2008 · Leave a Comment

Lunchtime but as usual we like to chek the market at 1:00 and we saw a nice pop. Watch this time of day everyday in the next month and let’s see if we see this on the regular. I wil keep an update of it. As of now I am flat and just having lunch and waiting on the Fed at 2:15.  Note we are trading at the highs while we await this number.Unless the news is really unexpected twist , I would say we are going to stay above the 820 level in the mini Dow,and that would be a good sign for the bulls in markets across the board.

Categories: doldrums · stock market ideas · tradethemarkets · trading the dow · ym
Tagged: ,